Fred Ettish vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
180 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Fred Ettish is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryan Parker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1516
If they lose-25→ 1468
If they win+17→ 1494
If they lose-15→ 1462
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1483 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fred EttishRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Parker52%
Fred Ettish 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 52% favorite over Fred Ettish in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fred Ettish's way (48%).
Fred Ettish holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1477, a 16-point edge.
Ryan Parker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.