Combat Edge Intelligence

Fábio Henrique vs Marcos Degli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-2-0Record14-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'6"
67"Reach70"
122 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Nogueira SJRPTeamVale Top Team· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fábio HenriqueNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Marcos DegliNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Fábio HenriqueMarcos Degli
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
7 (44%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (25%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Degli56%
Fábio Henrique 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Degli a 56% favorite over Fábio Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1694), separated by just 2 points.

Fábio Henrique enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marcos Degli enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Fábio Henrique finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Degli 93%.

Marcos Degli carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.