Combat Edge Intelligence

Gable Steveson vs Paul Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach-
265 lbsWeight246 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamTFT MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gable StevesonNow 1605
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
Paul ElliottNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gable StevesonPaul Elliott
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gable Steveson56%
Paul Elliott 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 56% favorite over Paul Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Elliott's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.