Combat Edge Intelligence

Gable Steveson vs Paul Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach76.4"
265 lbsWeight246 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gable StevesonNow 1605
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
Paul ElliottNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

16.29
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
72%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gable StevesonPaul Elliott
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gable Steveson and Paul Elliott within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.

Paul Elliott carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.