Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriella Carbone vs Ryan Hickey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs

What's at stake

Ryan Hickey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Carbone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gabriella CarboneNow 1424
If they win+27→ 1451
If they lose-21→ 1403
Ryan HickeyNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Gabriella CarboneRyan Hickey
1450202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Hickey61%
Gabriella Carbone 39%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 61% favorite over Gabriella Carbone in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ryan Hickey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1424, a 47-point edge.

Gabriella Carbone enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.