Gadzhimurad Aliev vs Gino van Steenis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height6'1"
-Reach74"
147 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Vlaardingen· 1681 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gadzhimurad AlievGino van Steenis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gino van Steenis57%
Gadzhimurad Aliev 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gino van Steenis a 57% favorite over Gadzhimurad Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gadzhimurad Aliev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1630), separated by just 0 points.
Gino van Steenis enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gadzhimurad Aliev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Gino van Steenis 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.