Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Mahamed Aly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record5-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
40,0"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamOne Way Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovNow 1595
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
Mahamed AlyNow 1596
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
5.08
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.45
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMahamed Aly
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
14 (70%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (5%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mahamed Aly71%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 71% favorite over Gadzhimurad Antigulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.