Combat Edge Intelligence

Gaetano Pirrello vs Jay Perrin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
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Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record13-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Osman GymTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gaetano PirrelloNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Jay PerrinNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
43%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
2.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
30%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gaetano PirrelloJay Perrin
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
3 (19%)
Submission
4 (31%)
2 (13%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Jay Perrin55%
Gaetano Pirrello 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jay Perrin a 55% favorite over Gaetano Pirrello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1589), separated by just 3 points.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gaetano Pirrello finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jay Perrin 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.