Combat Edge Intelligence

Gary Goodridge vs Jerry Bohlander

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-22-1Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
240 lbsWeight199 lbs
Big Daddy Fight TeamTeamLion's Den

What's at stake

Jerry Bohlander is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gary Goodridge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gary GoodridgeNow 1592
If they win+13→ 1605
If they lose-11→ 1581
Jerry BohlanderNow 1619
If they win+15→ 1634
If they lose-17→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gary GoodridgeJerry Bohlander
16001650200520062007200820092010

Win method breakdown

16 (70%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (26%)
Submission
10 (91%)
1 (4%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Jerry Bohlander66%
Gary Goodridge 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Jerry Bohlander a 66% favorite over Gary Goodridge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Jerry Bohlander holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1592, a 27-point edge.

Gary Goodridge enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Gary Goodridge finishes 96% of wins inside the distance, Jerry Bohlander 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.