Combat Edge Intelligence

Gaston Bolaños vs Koyomi Matsushima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
CSATeamGaio Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gaston BolañosNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Koyomi MatsushimaNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.66
Takedown avg.
9
100%
Takedown accuracy
53%
43%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gaston BolañosKoyomi Matsushima
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (33%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gaston Bolaños and Koyomi Matsushima within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.

Gaston Bolaños finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Koyomi Matsushima 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.