Combat Edge Intelligence

Gegam Manavazyan vs Justin Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record10-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bastion GymTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel

What's at stake

Justin Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gegam Manavazyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gegam ManavazyanNow 1559
If they win+17→ 1576
If they lose-15→ 1544
Justin EdwardsNow 1577
If they win+15→ 1592
If they lose-17→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.14
Not available
Takedown accuracy
27%
Not available
Takedown defense
27%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Gegam ManavazyanJustin Edwards
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
2 (29%)
Submission
8 (80%)
5 (71%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Edwards58%
Gegam Manavazyan 42%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Edwards a 58% favorite over Gegam Manavazyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Justin Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1577 to 1559, a 18-point edge.

Gegam Manavazyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gegam Manavazyan finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Justin Edwards 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.