Combat Edge Intelligence

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. vs Macksom Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height6'1"
39,0"Reach75"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMarkine Fight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Now 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Macksom LeeNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Macksom Lee
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
7 (50%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (21%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Macksom Lee89%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 11%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Macksom Lee a 89% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Geraldo de Freitas Jr.'s way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Macksom Lee 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.