German Barsegyan vs Nilton Gavião
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-1Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach-
137 lbsWeight151 lbs
TeamSombra Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
German BarsegyanNilton Gavião
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
German Barsegyan54%
Nilton Gavião 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes German Barsegyan a 54% favorite over Nilton Gavião in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1533), separated by just 0 points.
Nilton Gavião enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
German Barsegyan finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nilton Gavião 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.