Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record14-2-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
71"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Mike Malott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1757
If they lose-11→ 1733
If they win+15→ 1777
If they lose-17→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert BurnsMike Malott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Malott63%
Gilbert Burns 37%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Malott a 63% favorite over Gilbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Mike Malott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1744, a 18-point edge.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mike Malott enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Gilbert Burns finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Mike Malott 86%.
Gilbert Burns and Mike Malott share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Mike Malott carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.