Combat Edge Intelligence

Gjoni Palokaj vs Phillipe Nover

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record11-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach72,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fightschool HannoverTeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gjoni PalokajNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Phillipe NoverNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.48
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.99
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Gjoni PalokajPhillipe Nover
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
2 (15%)
Submission
5 (45%)
7 (54%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Gjoni Palokaj70%
Phillipe Nover 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gjoni Palokaj a 70% favorite over Phillipe Nover in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phillipe Nover's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gjoni Palokaj finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Phillipe Nover 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.