Gleison Tibau vs Renan Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-19-0Record14-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight154 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTropa Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gleison TibauRenan Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau54%
Renan Oliveira 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 54% favorite over Renan Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.
Gleison Tibau enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Renan Oliveira enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Renan Oliveira 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.