Combat Edge Intelligence

Gloria de Paula vs Ye Ji Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-7-0Record7-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'1"
67"Reach59"
116 lbsWeight108 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamTeam aom

What's at stake

Gloria de Paula is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ye Ji Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+15→ 1509
If they lose-17→ 1477
Ye Ji LeeNow 1478
If they win+17→ 1495
If they lose-15→ 1463

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
0.74
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
65%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.49
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gloria de PaulaYe Ji Lee
1450150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
3 (50%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ye Ji Lee79%
Gloria de Paula 21%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ye Ji Lee a 79% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gloria de Paula's way (48%).

Gloria de Paula holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1478, a 16-point edge.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ye Ji Lee 29%.

Gloria de Paula carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.