
Gloria de Paula vs Ye Ji Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Gloria de Paula is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ye Ji Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Ye Ji Lee a 79% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gloria de Paula's way (48%).
Gloria de Paula holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1478, a 16-point edge.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ye Ji Lee 29%.
Gloria de Paula carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.