Combat Edge Intelligence

Grant Dawson vs Salahdine Parnasse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-3-1Record23-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAtch Academy

What's at stake

Grant Dawson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Salahdine Parnasse carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Grant DawsonNow 1802
If they win+11→ 1813
If they lose-13→ 1789
Salahdine ParnasseNow 1787
If they win+13→ 1800
If they lose-11→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
3.81
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.12
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Grant DawsonSalahdine Parnasse
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (21%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
14 (58%)
Submission
7 (29%)
5 (21%)
Decision
8 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Grant Dawson and Salahdine Parnasse within a point of even.

Grant Dawson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1787, a 15-point edge.

Salahdine Parnasse enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Grant Dawson finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Salahdine Parnasse 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.