Gustavo García vs Israel Delgado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-4-0Record4-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-ReachUnknown
152 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Israel Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Gustavo García carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1446
If they lose-21→ 1398
If they win+21→ 1484
If they lose-27→ 1436
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo GarcíaIsrael Delgado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo García57%
Israel Delgado 43%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo García a 57% favorite over Israel Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Israel Delgado's way (44%).
Israel Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1463 to 1419, a 44-point edge.
Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.