Gustavo Lopez vs Renat Ondar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-1Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo LopezRenat Ondar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renat Ondar63%
Gustavo Lopez 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Renat Ondar a 63% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gustavo Lopez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1635), separated by just 3 points.
Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Renat Ondar 31%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.