Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Scott Baker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record1-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight210 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Scott Baker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+21→ 1552
If they lose-27→ 1504
Scott BakerNow 1494
If they win+27→ 1521
If they lose-21→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsScott Baker
1500155019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts66%
Scott Baker 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 66% favorite over Scott Baker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1494, a 37-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.