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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hafeni Nafuka vs Murad Khasaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hafeni Nafuka
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Hafeni Nafuka

“The Namibian Nightmare”

12-5-0LightweightOKMMA

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hafeni NafukaNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Murad KhasaevNow 1617
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hafeni NafukaMurad Khasaev
150016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
8 (67%)
Submission
3 (50%)
2 (17%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Hafeni Nafuka66%
Murad Khasaev 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hafeni Nafuka a 66% favorite over Murad Khasaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1617), separated by just 0 points.

Murad Khasaev enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Murad Khasaev 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.