Combat Edge Intelligence

Hasan Mezhiev vs Iwo Baraniewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-0-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
RixTeamAligatores Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hasan MezhievNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Iwo BaraniewskiNow 1716
If they win+24→ 1740
If they lose-24→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1477 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
15.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
71%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.01
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hasan MezhievIwo Baraniewski
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
8 (53%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Iwo Baraniewski53%
Hasan Mezhiev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 53% favorite over Hasan Mezhiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hasan Mezhiev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1716), separated by just 2 points.

Hasan Mezhiev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Hasan Mezhiev finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.