Hattan Alsaif vs Pedro Carvalho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record15-10-0
AtomweightDivisionWelterweight
5'1"Height5'11"
60"Reach70"
105 lbsWeight165 lbs
Fight Club RiyadhTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Pedro Carvalho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Hattan Alsaif carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1581
If they lose-20→ 1533
If they win+13→ 1621
If they lose-19→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hattan AlsaifPedro Carvalho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Carvalho51%
Hattan Alsaif 49%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Carvalho a 51% favorite over Hattan Alsaif in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Pedro Carvalho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1553, a 55-point edge.
Hattan Alsaif enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pedro Carvalho 60%.
Pedro Carvalho carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.