Herbeth Sousa vs Malcolm Wellmaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-2-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonfim BrothersTeamFaglier's MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Herbeth SousaMalcolm Wellmaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Herbeth Sousa67%
Malcolm Wellmaker 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Herbeth Sousa a 67% favorite over Malcolm Wellmaker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1681), separated by just 2 points.
Herbeth Sousa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Malcolm Wellmaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Herbeth Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Wellmaker 80%.
Malcolm Wellmaker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.