Combat Edge Intelligence

Herbeth Sousa vs Malcolm Wellmaker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-2-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFaglier's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herbeth SousaNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Malcolm WellmakerNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.39
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
57%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Herbeth SousaMalcolm Wellmaker
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
14 (70%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (20%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Malcolm Wellmaker72%
Herbeth Sousa 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Malcolm Wellmaker a 72% favorite over Herbeth Sousa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Herbeth Sousa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1680), separated by just 0 points.

Herbeth Sousa enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Malcolm Wellmaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Herbeth Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Wellmaker 80%.

Malcolm Wellmaker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.