Combat Edge Intelligence

Hiroya Kondo vs Kaelob Alger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-16-1Record0-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
-Reach-
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1642 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamHagerstown Brazilian Jiu Jitsu Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hiroya KondoNow 1476
If they win+12→ 1488
If they lose-12→ 1464
Kaelob AlgerNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hiroya KondoKaelob Alger
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaelob Alger55%
Hiroya Kondo 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaelob Alger a 55% favorite over Hiroya Kondo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hiroya Kondo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1476), separated by just 0 points.

Hiroya Kondo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hiroya Kondo finishes 70% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.