Combat Edge Intelligence

Hyuga Miyagawa vs Kyohei Hagiwara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach71.1"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team SmokerTeamTeam Smoker

What's at stake

Hyuga Miyagawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kyohei Hagiwara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hyuga MiyagawaNow 1499
If they win+14→ 1513
If they lose-18→ 1481
Kyohei HagiwaraNow 1466
If they win+18→ 1484
If they lose-14→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hyuga MiyagawaKyohei Hagiwara
140014501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Hyuga Miyagawa83%
Kyohei Hagiwara 17%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Hyuga Miyagawa a 83% favorite over Kyohei Hagiwara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Hyuga Miyagawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1499 to 1466, a 33-point edge.

Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hyuga Miyagawa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.