Ieuan Davies vs Max Coga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record27-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
-Reach72"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Blackledge MMATeamTeam MMA Spirit· 1647 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1696
If they lose-24→ 1648
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ieuan DaviesMax Coga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ieuan Davies52%
Max Coga 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ieuan Davies a 52% favorite over Max Coga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.
Ieuan Davies enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Max Coga enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ieuan Davies finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Max Coga 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.