Combat Edge Intelligence

Irakli Kuchukhidze vs Marcio Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record13-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach-
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club MotivatorTeamBonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Irakli Kuchukhidze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Marcio Cabral carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irakli KuchukhidzeNow 1514
If they win+23→ 1537
If they lose-25→ 1489
Marcio CabralNow 1497
If they win+25→ 1522
If they lose-23→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Irakli KuchukhidzeMarcio Cabral
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
1 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Irakli Kuchukhidze57%
Marcio Cabral 43%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Irakli Kuchukhidze a 57% favorite over Marcio Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Irakli Kuchukhidze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1514 to 1497, a 17-point edge.

Irakli Kuchukhidze enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Irakli Kuchukhidze finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.