Isaiah Metituk vs Jesus Gutierrez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record8-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'5"
-Reach-
130 lbsWeight125 lbs
Universal MMATeamBonebreakers MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Jesus Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Isaiah Metituk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1464
If they lose-14→ 1432
If they win+14→ 1502
If they lose-18→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Isaiah MetitukJesus Gutierrez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaiah Metituk52%
Jesus Gutierrez 48%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaiah Metituk a 52% favorite over Jesus Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesus Gutierrez's way (44%).
Jesus Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1488 to 1446, a 42-point edge.
Isaiah Metituk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jesus Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Isaiah Metituk finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Gutierrez 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.