Combat Edge Intelligence

Ismail Naurdiev vs Mantas Kondratavičius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ismail Naurdiev
at

Ismail Naurdiev

“The Austrian Wonderboy”

25-8-0WelterweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

25-8-0Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamFighter House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ismail NaurdievNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Mantas KondratavičiusNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
53%
Strike accuracy
33%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
65%
Strike defense
60%
1.48
Takedown avg.
13.64
41%
Takedown accuracy
100%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ismail NaurdievMantas Kondratavičius
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (52%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
6 (24%)
Submission
2 (22%)
6 (24%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mantas Kondratavičius61%
Ismail Naurdiev 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mantas Kondratavičius a 61% favorite over Ismail Naurdiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ismail Naurdiev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Mantas Kondratavičius enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mantas Kondratavičius 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.