Ismail Naurdiev vs Mantas Kondratavičius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievMantas Kondratavičius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev56%
Mantas Kondratavičius 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 56% favorite over Mantas Kondratavičius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.
Mantas Kondratavičius enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mantas Kondratavičius 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.