Combat Edge Intelligence

Iwan Tagner vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73.2"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Iwan TagnerNow 1580
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.76
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
61%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Iwan TagnerTakashi Sato
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
2 (100%)
Submission
2 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Iwan Tagner and Takashi Sato within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Iwan Tagner enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Takashi Sato 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.