Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Grant vs Josh Koscheck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record17-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
76"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight MinistryTeamDethrone Base Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack GrantNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
Not available
Strike defense
63%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
48%
Not available
Takedown defense
64%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Jack GrantJosh Koscheck
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
10 (48%)
Submission
4 (24%)
1 (5%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Koscheck53%
Jack Grant 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Koscheck a 53% favorite over Jack Grant in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jack Grant's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1644), separated by just 3 points.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Jack Grant finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.

Jack Grant carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.