Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Grant vs Tim Means

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack GrantNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.14
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
Not available
Takedown defense
65%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Jack GrantTim Means
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
20 (61%)
10 (48%)
Submission
5 (15%)
1 (5%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Means52%
Jack Grant 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Means a 52% favorite over Jack Grant in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jack Grant's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Grant finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.