Jack Hermansson vs Paul Daley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record43-18-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamSpirit Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonPaul Daley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Hermansson63%
Paul Daley 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 63% favorite over Paul Daley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Daley's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1724), separated by just 3 points.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.