Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Pais vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jacob Pais
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Jacob Pais

“El Tortuga”

1-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1503Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob PaisNow 1503
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jacob PaisLorenzo de Nigris
150015502026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris51%
Jacob Pais 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 51% favorite over Jacob Pais in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jacob Pais's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1501), separated by just 2 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.