Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Pais vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jacob Pais
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Jacob Pais

“El Tortuga”

1-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1503Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
KAMICUOZZI MMA & FITNESSTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob PaisNow 1503
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jacob PaisLorenzo de Nigris
150015502026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Pais59%
Lorenzo de Nigris 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 59% favorite over Lorenzo de Nigris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1501), separated by just 2 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.