Combat Edge Intelligence

Jaden Ortega vs Lucas Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lucas Silva
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Lucas Silva

“Bolacha”

6-0-0WelterweightLFA

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach-
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1667 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jaden OrtegaNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Lucas SilvaNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1439 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jaden OrtegaLucas Silva
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (17%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Silva63%
Jaden Ortega 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Silva a 63% favorite over Jaden Ortega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1620), separated by just 4 points.

Jaden Ortega enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Lucas Silva enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Jaden Ortega finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Silva 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.