Jaime Ortiz vs Kyohei Hagiwara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach71.1"
144 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Weichafe· 1527 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Smoker
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1494
If they lose-23→ 1446
If they win+16→ 1495
If they lose-16→ 1463
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jaime OrtizKyohei Hagiwara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jaime Ortiz55%
Kyohei Hagiwara 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jaime Ortiz a 55% favorite over Kyohei Hagiwara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyohei Hagiwara's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1479), separated by just 10 points.
Jaime Ortiz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.