Combat Edge Intelligence

Jair Farias vs Jonathan Pearce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jair Farias
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Jair Farias

“Chosen”

10-1-0FeatherweightDWCS

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combat Club SPTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jair FariasNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Jonathan PearceNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Jair FariasJonathan Pearce
16501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (14%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jair Farias66%
Jonathan Pearce 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jair Farias a 66% favorite over Jonathan Pearce in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan Pearce's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jair Farias finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Pearce 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.