Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Craig vs Zaurbek Sabanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Craig
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Jake Craig

“Bronson”

5-1-0Light HeavyweightUMMA

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record4-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
-Reach-
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
Shaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamARS Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake CraigNow 1603
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
Zaurbek SabanovNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jake CraigZaurbek Sabanov
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Craig56%
Zaurbek Sabanov 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Craig a 56% favorite over Zaurbek Sabanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1600), separated by just 3 points.

Zaurbek Sabanov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jake Craig finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Zaurbek Sabanov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.