Jake Woodley vs Jason Lambert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record26-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BodyshopTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1486 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake WoodleyJason Lambert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Woodley66%
Jason Lambert 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 66% favorite over Jason Lambert in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Lambert's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jake Woodley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jason Lambert 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.