Jake Woodley vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1650 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamW4R Training Center· 1623 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1665
If they lose-24→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake WoodleyZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Reese69%
Jake Woodley 31%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 69% favorite over Jake Woodley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1645), separated by just 4 points.
Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Woodley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.