Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamahal Hill vs Rasul Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamahal Hill
us

Jamahal Hill

“Sweet Dreams”

12-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black Lion Jiu-JitsuTeamKHK MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamahal HillNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Rasul MagomedovNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jamahal HillRasul Magomedov
155016001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
5 (42%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Rasul Magomedov63%
Jamahal Hill 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 63% favorite over Jamahal Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamahal Hill's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1699), separated by just 5 points.

Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rasul Magomedov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Jamahal Hill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 67%.

Jamahal Hill carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.