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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamelle Jones vs Sam Hoger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jamelle Jones
us

Jamelle Jones

“The Beast”

15-8-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1629Solid
Sam Hoger
us

Sam Hoger

“Alaskan Assassin”

10-4-0Light HeavyweightHoger MMA

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
202 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamelle JonesNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Sam HogerNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
Not available
Strike accuracy
25%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
29%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Jamelle JonesSam Hoger
16002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
4 (27%)
Submission
6 (60%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamelle Jones56%
Sam Hoger 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamelle Jones a 56% favorite over Sam Hoger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Jamelle Jones enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sam Hoger enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jamelle Jones finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hoger 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.