James Gallagher vs Lucas Ganin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
64"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamIS 360 Sport Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James GallagherLucas Ganin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Gallagher55%
Lucas Ganin 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Gallagher a 55% favorite over Lucas Ganin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.
James Gallagher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Ganin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Gallagher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Ganin 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.