Combat Edge Intelligence

James Llontop vs Landry Ward

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Landry Ward
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Landry Ward

“The Lone Star Kid”

10-3-0LightweightPFL

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73″Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team FFCTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James LlontopNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Landry WardNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James LlontopLandry Ward
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (43%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

James Llontop60%
Landry Ward 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes James Llontop a 60% favorite over Landry Ward in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Landry Ward's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1617), separated by just 2 points.

James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Landry Ward enters on a 2-fight win streak.

James Llontop finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Landry Ward 50%.

James Llontop carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.