James Llontop vs Lucas Corbage
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73″Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James LlontopLucas Corbage
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Corbage58%
James Llontop 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Corbage a 58% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Llontop's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.
James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
James Llontop finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Corbage 69%.
James Llontop and Lucas Corbage share 1 common opponent: Kevin Pastran.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinPunches · 2022
LossTKO (Punches) · 2024