Combat Edge Intelligence

James Romero vs Jesse Murray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Murray
us

Jesse Murray

“Hollywood”

10-6-0Light HeavyweightAFP

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Fit NHB· 1627 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamStrongstyle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James RomeroNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Jesse MurrayNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
Not available
Strike accuracy
29%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.72
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

James RomeroJesse Murray
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (50%)
Submission
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting James Romero and Jesse Murray within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1556), separated by just 4 points.

James Romero finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Murray 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.