Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Gordon vs Shamil Basaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"Reach71.3"
156 lbsWeight147 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared GordonNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Shamil BasaevNow 1678
If they win+24→ 1702
If they lose-24→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.64
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
1.78
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jared GordonShamil Basaev
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (13%)
11 (52%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Gordon65%
Shamil Basaev 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 65% favorite over Shamil Basaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1678), separated by just 0 points.

Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shamil Basaev enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Basaev 63%.

Shamil Basaev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.