Jared Vanderaa vs Luther Egerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record3-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"HeightTBD
80"Reach-
259 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1563
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaLuther Egerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Vanderaa57%
Luther Egerson 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Vanderaa a 57% favorite over Luther Egerson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luther Egerson's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1579), separated by just 4 points.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luther Egerson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Luther Egerson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.