Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarno Errens vs Roman Puga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-1Record5-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team ThrivingTeamMMAFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jarno ErrensNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Roman PugaNow 1596
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.31
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jarno ErrensRoman Puga
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
5 (33%)
Submission
1 (20%)
7 (47%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Puga63%
Jarno Errens 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Puga a 63% favorite over Jarno Errens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.

Roman Puga enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jarno Errens finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Roman Puga 100%.

Jarno Errens carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.